Business
It is an interrelated system of financial resources
movement that is activated by the management decisions.
Management
It is the art of asking significance questions. The
process management is a series of economic choices that activates movement of
financial resources connected with business.
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Financial
Analysis
It is analytical as well as judgemental process that
helps answers questions that have been properly posed and therefore it is a
means to an end.
Questions to be asked in analysis: -
Exact
nature and scope of the issue to be analysed ( problem & its relative
importance been clearly spelled out)
Specific factors, relationships, and trends
likely to help in analyzing the issue. Order of their importance, sequence be
adhered.
Reliability and availability of data.
Level of preciseness in answering the
question. Additional refinement worthful?
Limitation inherent in the tools to be
applied.
Importance of qualitative judgment.
The basic task of financial analysis is to develop a
reasonably consistent and meaningful set of data & relationships abstracted
from the combined results of management decisions on the investment, operation,
and financing for the purpose of judging the financial condition and outlook
for the business in terms of economic performance and value.
Investment
Decisions
Capital budgeting for committing existing or newly
obtained funds to three main area: -
1)
working
capital
2)
new
facilities and equipment
3)
Major
spending plans such as R&D and promotional program.
Operations
Key strategies and decisions involve the effective
utilization of the funds invested in serving selected market and the task of
setting appropriate pricing and service policies that are competitive in
filling the customer’s needs. Basically it involves economic trade-offs.
Operating leverage is proportion of fixed (period) cost committed to the
operations.
Financing
There is two issues to be discussed, one is disposition
of profit and secondly capital structure. Financial leverage is a prudent use
of funds obtained from fixed cost debt obligations in financing investment
opportunity with potential earning higher than cost of interest.
Financial
Statement
1)
Balance Sheet: - it is called as statement of financial condition/position.
It describes the categories and amount of funds employed by the business (i.e.
the fund committed) and the offsetting liabilities incurred to lenders and
owners (i.e. the funds obtained).
2)
Operating statement
3)
Funds flow statement
4)
Cash flow statement
5)
Change in ownership statement
Three different
objectives of financial process: -
Financial Accounting
|
Financial Analysis
|
Managerial Economics
|
Profit
Determination
1)
revenue
recognition
2)
expense
recognition
3)
cost
allocation
4)
profit
definition
|
Financial
Information
1)
adjustment
process
2)
trend
analysis
3)
profit
projection
4)
cash
flow projection
|
Activity
Economics
1)
task
analysis
2)
economic
allocation
3)
contribution
analysis
4)
trade-off
determination
|
Value
Determination
1)
Historical
Cost
2)
Conservatism
3)
Equity
Determination
4)
Contingency
Recognition
|
Comparative
Data
1)
Industry
Analysis
2)
Competitor
Analysis
3)
Economic
Conditions
4)
Adjustment
Area
|
Resource
Effectiveness
1)
Investment
Base
2)
Capital Investment
3)
Capital Divestments
4)
Human Resources
|
Tax Determination
1)
Legal Data Rqmnt.
2)
Income, Expense Timing
3)
Tax Management Issues
4)
Statement Adj.
|
Market
Analysis
1)
Share
Price Pattern
2)
Market
Trends
3)
Value
Drivers
4)
Market
Models
|
Shareholder
Value
1)
Cash
flow Pattern
2)
Cost
of Capital
3)
Investor
Expectation
4)
Risk-Reward
Trade-offs
|
Assessment of Business Performance
Before any analysis is undertaken, we should clearly
Ø
Define
the view point taken
Ø
Objectives
of the analysis
Ø
Potential
standards of comparison
The actual usefulness of any particular ratio is strictly
governed by the specific objectives of the analysis.
There are lots of individuals and groups interested in
the performance of a given business.
Management
|
Owner
|
Lender
|
Operational
Analysis
1)
Gross
Margin
2)
Profit
Margin
3)
Operating
Expense Analysis
4)
Contribution
Analysis
5)
Operating
Leverage
|
Profitability
1)
Return
to NW
2)
Return on common equity
3)
EPS
4)
CFPS
5)
Share
Price Appreciation
6)
Total
Shareholder return
7)
Shareholder
value Analysis
|
Liquidity
1)
Current
Ratio
2)
Acid
Test
3)
Quick
4)
Cash
Flow Pattern
|
Resource
Management
1)
Asset
Turnover
2)
Working
Capital Management
3)
Human
Resource Effectiveness
|
Disposition of Earning
1)
DPS
2)
Dividend
Yield
3)
Payout/Retention
4)
Dividend
coverage
|
Financial
Leverage
1)
Debt
to Asset
2)
Debt
to Capitalization
3)
Debt
to Equity
4)
Risk-Reward
trade-offs
|
Profitability
1)
Return on Assets
2)
Return before interest and tax
3)
Return on Current Value Basis
|
Market Indicators
1)
Price-Earning
Ratio
2)
Market
to Book Value
3)
Relative
Price Movement
4)
Cash
Flow Multiples
|
Debt
Service
1)
interest
coverage
2)
interest
and Principal Coverage
3)
Cash
Flow Analysis
|
Owner’s Point of View
I.
Profitability
It means the return
achieved through efforts of management on the funds invested by the owners.
a)
Return on Net
worth – Net Profit / Net worth (Equity). As operations build-up shareholders
equity during the year that hence the annual profit should be related to the
mid-point of this build-up. Here the point to discuss is deferred tax. How
should we treat deferred taxes? Two arrangement posed by analysts. Firstly we
treat it as owner’s equity set aside against future higher tax levels. Secondly
a form of long-term debt. Therefore there is no consensus amongst analyst about
treatment of deferred tax; we do not include it in any of the ratio
calculations.
b)
Return on
Common Equity – this is more refined version of the
calculation of return on owner’s investment, as it is based on earning accruing
to the holders of common shares only. It is calculated as Net Profit to common / Avg. common equity. Net Profit – reduced by
dividend paid to preference shareholder and by other obligations (like
distribution to holder of minority interests). Net Worth reduced by the amount
of preferred equity and any minority elements.
c)
Earning Per
Share – Net profit to common / Avg. no. of shares
outstanding. It can be of two types, Primary EPS; it uses avg. shares actually
outstanding during the period. Secondly Fully Diluted EPS, all shares
potentially in addition to actual shares outstanding, i.e. shares that would
result from the conversion of preferred and Debt securities that are
convertibles into common shares under various provision and shares from option
by employees and others not yet exercised.
Quarterly or annual profitability do impact EPS. Changes in no. of
outstanding shares may be because of fresh issue, stock split, dividend in shares,
retirement of shares, retirement of shares, option exercised etc.
d)
Cash Flow Per
Share – (Net profit to common + write-offs) / Avg.
no. of shares outstanding. It is used as a rough measure of the company’s
ability to pay cash dividends. CFPS ratio is an effort to simulate the
operating funds flow on a per share basis. It is developed from on a net profit
to which operating write-offs such as depreciation, amortization, and depletion
have been added back. Adding back these book-entries restates the net profit in
a form that approximates the funds generated by operations.
e)
Share Price
Appreciation – Economic Value Addition is generation of
more positive cash flows than outlays in the long run through the combined
effect of investment, operation, and financing decisions.
f)
Total
Shareholder Return – change in share price + cash
dividend. The full economic benefit received by the shareholder is the sum of
this stream of dividends and the change in the price of the stock.
g)
Share Holder
Value Analysis
II. Disposition
of Earning
a)
Dividend
per Share
b)
Dividend
Yield – Annual Dividend per share / Avg.
Mkt. Price per share. It can be average of 52 week high and low.
c)
Payout
/ Retention – Cash Dividend per Share /
EPS
d)
Dividend
Coverage – Degree to which dividends are
covered by earning and cash flow.
III.
Market
Indicators
a)
Price/Earning
Ratio – market price per share / Earning
per share. It is used to indicate how the stock market is judging the company’s
earning performance and prospects. It is overall approximation of the market’s
current judgment of company risk versus past and prospectus earning
performance. The reverse of EPS formula is earning yield which relates EPS to
market price.
b)
Market to Book
Value Ratio - it is
only be a beginning step in the appraisal of long term performance and outlook.
c)
Relative Price
Movement
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